Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.170464 3.534747 3.929409 4.389641 4.912711 5.489988 6.177072
2025-02-16 2.617931 3.103294 3.667350 4.374741 5.242963 6.279906 7.621218
2025-02-23 2.283724 2.833884 3.507899 4.401565 5.566017 7.046480 9.094606
2025-03-02 1.985556 2.553289 3.278214 4.282814 5.656340 7.493993 10.181890
2025-03-09 1.781713 2.361607 3.128696 4.233071 5.807779 8.011643 11.399983
2025-03-16 1.615035 2.197594 2.992280 4.175390 5.926389 8.477907 12.582255
2025-03-23 1.541858 2.152109 3.009900 4.329725 6.356553 9.431780 14.610467
2025-03-30 1.433328 2.044520 2.925961 4.321279 6.534009 10.012542 16.113559
2025-04-06 1.331895 1.937454 2.831324 4.283518 6.655517 10.509145 17.530496
2025-04-13 1.197362 1.769688 2.630649 4.059420 6.450699 10.443205 17.953440
2025-04-20 1.132844 1.703668 2.580356 4.069675 6.630473 11.038280 19.632840
2025-04-27 1.090893 1.669165 2.575851 4.152735 6.939022 11.885968 21.894075
2025-05-04 1.044474 1.625656 2.555776 4.211747 7.218935 12.728107 24.301120
2025-05-11 0.998530 1.579583 2.527859 4.254525 7.474033 13.554812 26.809520
2025-05-18 0.955892 1.535673 2.499697 4.293297 7.724023 14.398777 29.485684
2025-05-25 0.891271 1.450094 2.393622 4.180624 7.671885 14.634836 30.861628
2025-06-01 0.843035 1.389303 2.326095 4.132837 7.740099 15.120548 32.875262
2025-06-08 0.797566 1.330346 2.257538 4.076846 7.785184 15.560746 34.849445
2025-06-15 0.785920 1.330247 2.294601 4.227033 8.267304 16.999283 39.505489
2025-06-22 0.752660 1.289099 2.253318 4.218823 8.414546 17.711440 42.447651
2025-06-29 0.718009 1.243280 2.200175 4.182087 8.495942 18.281610 45.115447
2025-07-06 0.662614 1.156109 2.063543 3.964036 8.157446 17.828386 44.920367
2025-07-13 0.639325 1.127635 2.037588 3.974016 8.331421 18.623779 48.368093